Алєх, ти шо плачеш?)

Бабах)

Ніхуя доброго з них не виросте

Переговори переговорами, але я хз шо робити з цими зомбаками

Trump, Greenland and Ukraine. An essay on penguins

In May 2025, Donald Trump's administration is considering concluding a Compact of Free Association (COFA) with Greenland, similar to those the US has with some Pacific island states. The move is aimed at strengthening US influence in the Arctic and is in line with Trump's statements about Greenland's strategic importance to national security. The Guardian writes about it

Let's take a closer look at what it is and what it is eaten with

Let's start with the simple: this initiative is not so much against Denmark as against the post-1945 order - great powers no longer acquire territory or seize

However, Trump has started a game of chess with a crowbar and wants to return to nineteenth-century imperial thinking.

The COFA (Compact of Free Association) is not only a military treaty, but also a mechanism of colonial legalisation through "contractual consent". The classic examples are Palau, the Marshall Islands, and Micronesia: states with a flag, an anthem, and permanent American military bases on their territory. All these countries are formally independent, but only on paper

Trump wants to apply this model to the Arctic.

Next. Greenland is not just an island with icebergs and penguins. There are a lot of rare earth metals under the ice. While China is buying up similar deposits in Africa, Trump wants to do the same, but in a different way

Controlling the GIUK-gap is also about Greenland. The geographical corridor between Greenland, Iceland and the UK is a key route for nuclear submarines and submarine cables. Loss of Greenland = loss of US advantage in the North Atlantic.

Greenland is part of Denmark, and therefore part of NATO. If the United States gets the COFA zone, it gets a separate lever of influence within the Alliance, bypassing European governments.

If the COFA includes American control over satellite surveillance, radio intercepts and ballistic missile overflights towards China, then Greenland will become the most expensive American radar in history.

However, at the same time, this is a failure of EU autonomy, because Denmark, which will not be able to say no to the United States, will endanger the entire northern security umbrella of Europe.

Isn't this an annexation? Yes, it is. But not in the style of Crimea 2014, but in a softer form - through a treaty trap. This is the geopolitics of the 21st century - there is no need to fight. You just need to know how to write a contract and where one comma changes the meaning of the entire agreement.

The annexation looks something like this:

Greenland is offered a COFA agreement -> it receives funding, protection, and access to the US market.

In exchange, it loses its real foreign policy subjectivity -> the US gets the right to build bases, control airspace, and influence economic policy.

A few years later, the country has a legal grey status: a formally independent territory, but with no way to get out of control, because all infrastructure and security are already tied to the US.

The irony is that both Moscow and Beijing will shout about "neocolonialism", although they are playing the same game. It's just that the US is doing it more sophisticatedly (so to speak), without "referendums" and other bullshit

Like it or not, in the 21st century, there is no need to seize territories - it is enough to convince them to voluntarily choose a stronger player as a "defender".

But if Greenland, which legally belongs to Denmark but has autonomy, agrees to a free association agreement with the United States, it will open another Pandora's box.

Taiwan can choose a similar formula with the US without declaring independence (can Xi fucking imagine?).

The Philippines could integrate into the US system through an associated security office

Sweden or even Finland, which are under constant pressure from Russia, could agree to an increased US deployment of weapons, bypassing NATO through various treaties
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